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Winter Wheat

Winter Wheat

Triticum aestivum subsp. aestivum

grainannual Zone 3–8

Winter wheat is a cool-season annual grain crop planted in fall, vernalized over winter, and harvested mid-summer. Well-suited to Zones 3-8, with reduced winter-kill risk in regions with consistent snow cover or moderating winter climates.

19/30

Crop Snowflake Score

Gross Revenue
$422

/acre

Net Return
$50

/acre

Price Trend
declining
Establishment Cost
$200

/acre

Crop Insurance
Available
Years to Production
0

years

Overview

Growing Season

Plant
Mid-September to mid-October – Mid-September to mid-October
Harvest
Mid-July to early Aug – Mid-July to early Aug
Frost-free days
120+

Yield

Typical yield
71 bu/acre
Productive lifespan
1 years
Labor
1.9 hrs/acre
100%

Market Fit

1/6

Active Regional Buyers

3 active buyers on record purchasing this crop.

Price Trend Stable/Up

3-year price trend recorded as "declining".

Supply Below Demand

Priced on national grain markets where supply is well established, leaving little regional headroom regardless of local channel strength (1 of 6 channels rate "strong").

Multiple Buyer Channels

1 of 6 documented market channels rate viable or better (wholesale). Thin — dependent on few outlets.

Value-Added Potential

0 viable direct-market channels. Limited direct-market routes; value chiefly captured at wholesale.

Market Growth Projected

Mature grain market; growth over a 5-year horizon is expected to track population rather than outpace it.

Market Channels

wholesale · The primary channel: wheat is sold in bulk to country elevators and grain buyers at commodity prices, with identity-preserved food-grade contracts available at a premium for millers.
direct_to_consumer · Feasible only for identity-preserved or specialty milling wheat sold as whole grain or stone-ground flour; requires on-farm milling/packaging and a value-added brand rather than commodity marketing.
retail · Possible as a packaged specialty or heritage flour on independent grocer and co-op shelves, but only after milling; raw commodity wheat has no direct retail outlet.
farmers_market · Only viable as a value-added product — bagged flour or whole grain — not as raw grain; works for growers who mill on-farm and market a heritage-variety story.
restaurant · Restaurant and artisan-bakery sales occur only through local-mill relationships for identity-preserved bread wheat; a niche outlet that absorbs little volume.
csa · Grain CSAs and buying clubs exist but are uncommon; wheat is a minor share component and the channel moves negligible volume for most growers.

Climate Fit

6/6

Hardiness Zone Match

Crop tolerates zones 3-8; region spans 5-6. Overlaps.

GDD Sufficient

Crop needs 2500 GDD (base 50F); region accumulates 2500+. Sufficient.

Precipitation Compatible

Crop needs ~15 in; region receives ~38 in/yr. Compatible, irrigation available as supplement.

Frost-Free Season OK

Crop needs 120 frost-free days; region provides ~180. Sufficient.

Chill Hours Met

Not applicable — annual crop has no winter chill requirement.

Climate Trend Favorable

Crop spans 6 hardiness zones (3-8). Wide adaptive range buffers against warming trend.

Fit by region

The farm matcher, run on each region's cited climate normals. Soil and site are not included here; add your own on the match page.

Match your farm
Finger Lakeszone 5b/6a · 2,200 GDD · 145 frost-free days · 38.29" rain

Limited by high-severity risks. 6 criteria evaluated, 1 not yet researched; 60% cited.

Strong fit
95/100
Hardiness zoneHeat accumulation (GDD base 50F)Frost-free seasonRainfallHigh-severity risksKnown buyers
Lake Erie Concord Grape Beltzone 6a/6b/7a · 2,923 GDD · 185 frost-free days · 41.09" rain

Limited by high-severity risks. 6 criteria evaluated, 1 not yet researched; 60% cited.

Strong fit
95/100
Hardiness zoneHeat accumulation (GDD base 50F)Frost-free seasonRainfallHigh-severity risksKnown buyers
Chautauqua Uplands (Allegheny Plateau)zone 6a · 2,364 GDD · 158 frost-free days · 45.93" rain

Limited by high-severity risks. 6 criteria evaluated, 1 not yet researched; 60% cited.

Strong fit
95/100
Hardiness zoneHeat accumulation (GDD base 50F)Frost-free seasonRainfallHigh-severity risksKnown buyers

Climate envelope & site

What the farm matcher compares your conditions against.

Climate envelope

Hardiness zone
3–8
Frost-free season
120+ days
Heat (GDD base 50°F)
not yet recorded
Winter chill
n/a
Rainfall
29.5–63 in/yr

Below the minimum, irrigation is needed; above the maximum the crop fails.

Soil pH target
6.0–7.0

Extension lime target; within 1.0 of it is correctable.

Site & structure

Spring frost at bloom
n/a
Needs cold-air drainage
n/a
Shade tolerance
none — full sun
Mature height
not yet recorded
Rooting depth
not yet recorded
Wind exposure tolerance
not yet recorded
Workable slope
not yet recorded

Height, rooting depth and shade tolerance are the inputs an alley or guild layout needs.

Soil Compatibility

Soil Texture

silt_loam (ideal)loam (ideal)clay_loam (suitable)silty_clay_loam (suitable)sandy_loam (suitable)sandy_clay_loam (suitable)silty_clay (marginal)clay (marginal)loamy_sand (marginal)sand (poor)

Drainage

well_drained (ideal)moderately_well_drained (ideal)somewhat_poorly_drained (suitable)somewhat_excessively_drained (suitable)poorly_drained (marginal)excessively_drained (marginal)very_poorly_drained (marginal)

Infrastructure Fit

5/6

Equipment Compatible

2 of 10 documented equipment items are crop-specific (20%) against a catalog median of 29%. Most needs are met by general row-crop or orchard equipment.

Storage Available

3 documented storage routes; at least one (Grain bin (on-farm)) is reachable with conventional on-farm or third-party facilities.

Irrigation Compatible

Requires ~15 in. Deliverable with conventional drip or overhead irrigation.

Field Layout Suitable

Grain crops need large contiguous acreage to be economic; the region's parcels are typically small and fragmented by topography.

Labor Availability

10 labor hr/ac vs catalog 75th percentile 250 hr/ac. Manageable with typical farm labor.

Processing Proximity

3 processor/cooperative buyers on record for this crop, 3 within NY/PA/OH.

Equipment Requirements

planting

Grain drill (15-30 ft)Required

No-till or conventional grain drill seeded at 1-1.5 inch depth in fall. Same machine as oats and barley.

$45,000
Tractor (100-150 HP)Required

Sized for drill, seedbed prep, and sprayer. Generally shared across the small-grain and row-crop rotation.

$95,000

cultivation

Disc harrow or vertical tillage toolOptional

For conventional fall seedbed prep into row-crop residue. Not needed for no-till establishment.

$22,000

spraying

Self-propelled or pull-type sprayer (60-90 ft boom)Required

For fall burndown, spring herbicide, fungicide, and PGR applications. Custom-application is widely available as a substitute.

$45,000
Variable-rate fertilizer spreaderOptional Specialized

For split-application spring nitrogen. Custom-application is common; on-farm equipment is a capital decision based on acres farmed.

$25,000

harvesting

Combine with grain header (25-35 ft)Required

Standard combine with rigid or draper header. Wider headers reduce harvest hours; widely shared across the small-grain rotation.

$380,000

post_harvest

Grain cart / auger wagonRequired

For moving harvested wheat from combine to truck. 800-1000 bushel cart typical.

$18,000
Continuous-flow grain dryerOptional

For drying wheat harvested above 14% moisture. Critical for avoiding storage damage in humid harvest seasons.

$55,000
On-farm grain bin (10,000-30,000 bu)Optional

For holding crop for forward delivery or basis improvement. Aeration is essential; sealed-bin fumigation may be required for stored-grain insects.

$60,000

general

Yield monitor / GPS-guided steeringOptional Specialized

For documenting field-level yield variability and reducing overlap on drill, sprayer, and combine passes. Standard kit on newer machines; retrofit is widely available.

$12,000

Storage Requirements

Grain bin (on-farm)

Temperature

25–40°F

Max Storage

365 days

Long-term dry storage

Temperature

30–50°F

Max Storage

730 days

Commercial elevator silo

Temperature

30–60°F

Max Storage

365 days

Financial Return

3/6

Revenue Above Average

Gross revenue $387/ac vs catalog median $6,000/ac. Below median.

Input Costs Acceptable

Annual operating cost $300/ac vs catalog 75th percentile $6,300/ac. Within typical range.

Payback Period OK

Reaches full production in 0 years. Acceptable payback.

Insurance Available

Federal crop insurance or an equivalent risk product is available.

Revenue Per Labor Hour

Net return per labor hour $1.50 ($15/ac over 10 hr/ac) vs catalog median $13.16. Below median.

Grants/Subsidies

No specialty-crop or cover-crop incentive program identified for this grain crop.

Economics Breakdown

Avg Price/Unit$6/$ / bu
Gross Revenue/Acre$422
Annual Operating Cost$300/acre
Establishment Cost$200/acre
Total Input Cost—/acre
Net Return/Acre$50
Revenue/Labor Hour—
Crop Insurance Available

Source: Cornell Cooperative Extension, Penn State Extension, USDA RMA, regional budget studies (2025)

Risk Profile

4/6

Manageable Pest/Disease

4 of 8 documented risks are high-severity (50%) against a catalog median of 36%. Above-median concentration of high-severity risk, demanding intensive management.

Market Diversified

1 viable market channel of 6 documented, plus 3 named buyers. Concentrated — losing one outlet would strand the crop.

Low Establishment Risk

0 years to full production at $200/ac establishment cost. Low establishment exposure.

Climate Resilient

Tolerates zones 3-8 (6 zones). Broad tolerance indicates resilience to seasonal variability.

Regulatory Burden Low

No crop-specific licensing or reporting regime beyond standard food-safety and pesticide rules.

Diversifies Portfolio

Adds a grain revenue stream distinct from the region's grape-dominated base.

Known Risks

disease

Fusarium Head Blight / Scab (Fusarium graminearum)high

Devastating fungal disease infecting heads during flowering. Causes yield loss plus mycotoxin (DON/vomitoxin) contamination that triggers grain market dockage or rejection. Major concern in humid wheat-growing regions globally.

Stripe Rust (Puccinia striiformis)high

Rapidly spreading fungal disease with yellow stripes of pustules on leaves. New aggressive races have overcome historical resistance. Can cause 50-80% yield loss in susceptible varieties.

Leaf Rust (Puccinia triticina)moderate

Most widely distributed wheat rust globally. Orange-red pustules on leaves reduce photosynthesis. Pathogen mutates frequently, overcoming resistance genes.

weather

Drought Stress During Grain Fillhigh

Wheat yield highly dependent on water availability during heading and grain fill (May-June in Northern Hemisphere). Drought at this stage can cut yields 30-60%.

Winterkillmoderate

Winter wheat can be killed by temperatures below -10°F (-23°C) without snow cover, ice sheeting, or freeze-thaw cycles. Stand loss of 30-100% possible in severe winters.

pest

Hessian Fly (Mayetiola destructor)moderate

Global wheat pest. Larvae feed at base of stems causing stunting, lodging, and yield loss. Biotypes continually overcome resistance genes.

Aphids / Barley Yellow Dwarf Virusmoderate

Cereal aphids (Rhopalosiphum padi, others) transmit Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus causing stunting, yellowing, and significant yield loss. Worldwide distribution.

market

Global Commodity Price Volatilityhigh

Wheat prices highly exposed to global supply shocks (Russia-Ukraine, drought in major exporters), exchange rates, and export policies. Farm-gate prices can swing 50%+ year-over-year.

Nutritional Yield

USDA FoodData Central
Profile based on Wheat, soft red winter (whole_grain form)
Edible mass per acre1,932 kg
Computed: 71 bu × 27.22 kg/unit × 100% edible

Macronutrients

NutrientPer 100 gPer acre
Calories331 kcal6,395,915 kcal
Protein10.3 g199,993 g
Total fat1.6 g30,144 g
Carbohydrates74.2 g1,434,540 g
Fiber12.5 g241,538 g
Sugar0.4 g7,922 g

Key micronutrients

Iron
3.2 mg /100g
62,027 mg / acre
Calcium
27 mg /100g
521,721 mg / acre
Potassium
397 mg /100g
7,671,233 mg / acre
Vitamin C
0 mg /100g
0 mg / acre
Vitamin A
0 IU /100g
0 IU / acre
Folate
41 mcg /100g
792,243 mcg / acre

Uncertainty: Per-acre values are estimates that compound the yield range, edible-fraction assumption, and a single representative nutrient panel. Treat them as order-of-magnitude planning numbers, not nutritional advice. Confidence: high.

Ecosystem Services

Biodiversity

  • Undisturbed spring nesting cover for ground-nesting birds
    high

    Because winter wheat is planted the previous fall, no tillage or planting equipment enters the field during the spring nesting season. Prairie research finds duck nest success in winter wheat often above 20 percent, far above spring-seeded cropland.

    Quantified:20 % duck nest success (Canadian prairies, often exceeded)
    Applies when: fields left undisturbed through the spring nesting period
    Evidence: Peer-reviewed·Confidence: medium

Erosion control

  • Living winter ground cover
    moderate

    A fall-seeded wheat crop keeps a canopy and root system on the field through winter and early spring, the window in which a corn–soybean field would sit bare. Penn State rates the effect as real but smaller than cereal rye, because wheat makes less biomass above and below ground.

    Applies when: established fall stand; benefit is largest where wheat replaces bare winter fallow in a corn–soybean rotation
    Evidence: Extension guidance·Confidence: high

Nutrient cycling

  • Nutrient scavenging (~120 lb N/acre at 4,000 lb/A biomass)
    moderate

    Wheat takes up residual nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium over the fall and spring and holds them in plant tissue. Penn State puts nitrogen uptake at roughly 120 lb/A for a 4,000 lb/A crop, and adds that wheat can cycle up to 25 lb of phosphorus and 60 lb of potassium.

    Quantified:120 lb N/acre taken up at 4,000 lb/A biomass
    Applies when: biomass near 4,000 lb/A; uptake scales with stand
    Evidence: Extension guidance·Confidence: high

Soil health

  • Biomass and organic-matter addition
    moderate

    September-planted wheat carried to late April or early May commonly exceeds 3,000 lb/A of dry matter and can reach 6,000 lb/A on fertile ground — the carbon input behind organic-matter and structure gains.

    Quantified:3000 lb dry matter/acre (commonly exceeded; up to 6,000 on fertile soils)
    Applies when: early-September planting, growth carried into late April/early May
    Evidence: Extension guidance·Confidence: high

Pest suppression

  • Non-host rotation break for corn rootworm
    moderate

    Corn rootworm larvae cannot complete development on wheat, so a year of wheat starves the larvae hatching from eggs laid the previous season. NDSU names wheat among the non-host crops it recommends for this purpose.

    Applies when: wheat grown in the year following corn in a rootworm-infested field
    Evidence: Extension guidance·Confidence: high

Cultivars

Named varieties and what the sources say sets each apart. A cultivar-specific zone, chill or maturity figure overrides the species value above.

No cultivars recorded yet for this crop.

Grows With / Avoid Near

Documented interactions with other catalog crops — shared pests, allelopathy, rotation effects, alley and understory pairings — for companion, guild and rotation planning. Plan a combination with Winter Wheat →

Avoid near, or plan around (31)

Grows with (24)

Tolerates (3)

Direction matters: a rotation benefit of A before B says nothing about B before A. Interactions are documented pairs only; absence is a research gap, not a clean bill.

Nearby Buyers

Radius from Lake Erie Concord Grape Belt:
No registered buyers for this crop within 50 miles.

Data Sources

Every data point on this page is traceable to its source. Below you'll find the complete provenance trail — which sources were used, when data was last verified, and a full change history.

Primary sources: Data sourced from Cornell Cooperative Extension, Penn State Extension, USDA resources, and regional research.

Economics data year: 2025 · Basis: lake erie View economics source →

51 tracked changes across 7 data categories

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Your Location

  • Lake Erie Concord Grape Belt
  • NY / PA
  • United States
  • Zone 6a

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Experimental research database. AI-assisted, may contain errors. Not formal agricultural, financial, or planting advice. Verify with your local extension service before making decisions.

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